Burginvest

Contango

順ザヤ Forward Curve ✓ Verified Citations Academic Origin
<Definition> A state of the forward curve in which the near-month contract (or spot price) trades below the deferred-month contract. In financial and commodity futures markets, this tends to form when storage costs and financing costs — the cost of carry — exceed the convenience yield — the value, unique to holding the physical commodity, of being able to use it immediately when needed. It is a forward curve state that reflects the factors making up the cost of carry: inventory, storage costs, financing costs, and the convenience yield of holding the physical commodity.
Contango definition diagramForward curve shape where the deferred-month price is higher than the near-month price Price Near month Deferred month Deferred > Near
日本語
<定義> 期近限月(または現物価格)が期先限月より低い価格体系となる先物曲線の状態を指す。金融・商品先物市場では、現物保有に伴う保管費用や資金調達コスト(Cost of Carry)が現物を保有する便益(Convenience Yield、必要なときに直ちに利用できる、現物保有ならではの価値)を相対的に上回る局面で形成されやすく、在庫・保管費用・資金調達コスト・現物保有の便益など、保有コストを構成する要因が反映された先物曲線の状態である。

<Mechanism>

Mechanism of contango formation (overview)Causal chain from ample inventory through holding costs exceeding convenience yield to contango Ample inventory Spare capacity is comfortable Holding costs accrue Storage, financing costs Exceeds convenience yield Deferred valued higher Contango forms

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